Bidding on Your Personal Browser History
Proclivity Media and others are working very hard to find out what you want to buy, and they’re getting to know you very well along the way.
Here’s the backstory: one particularly savvy way of advertising has begun receiving a lot of attention lately. It’s called re-targeting, and it relies on personal browser history to figure out what users may want to buy.
Automated programming bids on ad space individual users see based on their personal search history, more traditional consumer reports and retailer records, selling one-time ads at several hundred dollars a pop.
via Internet Retailer:
Proclivity uses its Consumer Valuation Platform to place cookies in consumers’ web browsers to monitor their browsing behavior around the Internet and tracks their specific interactions on a client retailer’s site using tiny pieces of embedded software code in site content. Proclivity adds data from the retailer, including the merchant’s own web analytics on shoppers’ click activity, and information on sales, merchandizing campaigns and product pricing, then scores it to determine when each customer is likely to buy and at what price point.
This is very similar to Facebook Exchange, which has been working cautiously well since June.
Here’s the Wall Street Journal:
Facebook is using its data trove to study the links between Facebook ads and members’ shopping habits at brick-and-mortar stores, part of an effort to prove the effectiveness of its $3.7 billion annual ad business to marketers.
FJP: This is big data at work — for many businesses, there’s a lot to find when comparing data sets that follow consumer behavior online and in stores.
When the Going Gets Weird, the Weird Get Weirder
My local watering hole usually has newspapers on the bar counter. Makes for easy reading over a beer.
A few weeks ago I came across this full-page ad in the New York Post. It’s for a “documentary” called “Dreams From My Real Father” and takes birtherism to even weirder, alternative heights.
As Talking Points Memo explains, “Instead of focusing on claims about the president’s Hawaiian birth certificate, the film is narrated by an Obama impersonator and claims the president is a closeted communist, bent on instilling a ‘classic Stalinist-Marxist agenda upon America at home and abroad.’ A disclaimer for the film notes that many of the scenes are ‘re-creations of probable events, using reasoned logic, speculation, and approximated conversations.’”
It does so by claiming that Obama’s real father was Frank Marshall Davis, a former journalist, and civil rights and labor activist. Evidently, he got Obama’s mom pregnant, which was scandalous, so the family invented a Kenyon father instead which was somehow less scandalous.
If you’ve worked in print you know that the ad department looks for advertisers who reflect well on — and reinforce — the brand. Have a luxury magazine, your sales team is looking for luxury brands. Have a sports magazine, your sales team looks for advertisers that reiterate that lifestyle.
If you’re the New York Post? Well, form follows function.
And if you’re from Alabama, your GOP party chair is a nut job.
As The Mobile Press Register recently reported, Bill Armistead was speaking to a Republican Women’s group and had this to say:
“We have to win this election. This is about our country. Our country will not be the same,” Armistead said. “I’m convinced, if Obama wins, our children and grandchildren will not live under the same conditions that we’ve lived in these wonderful years. Obama has a different ideology than we do.”
Armistead suggested that audience members see the movie ‘2016: Obama’s America,’ a documentary by conservative commentator Dinesh D’Souza that is critical of the president.
“If you haven’t seen it, you should,” he said. “But I’m going to tell you about another movie. The name of it is ‘Dreams From My Real Father.’ That is absolutely frightening. I’ve seen it. I verified that it is factual, all of it. People can determine.”
People can determine, indeed. — Michael
Image: Full page ad in the New York Post for Dreams from My Real Father.
This is What an Advertising Revenue Free Fall Looks Like
Via Mark J. Perry:
The decline in print newspaper advertising to a 62-year low is amazing by itself, but the sharp decline in recent years is pretty stunning. This year’s ad revenues of $19 billion will be less than half of the $46 billion spent just five years ago in 2007, and a little more than one-third of the $56.5 billion spent in 2004.
Here’s another perspective: It took 50 years to go from about $20 billion in annual newspaper print ad revenue in 1950 (adjusted for inflation) to $63.5 billion in 2000, and then only 12 years to go from $63.5 billion back to less than $20 billion in 2012.
Even when online advertising is added to the print ads (see red line in chart), the combined total spending for print and online advertising this year will still only be about $22.4 billion, less than the $22.47 billion spent on print advertising in 1953.
I think “ooph” is the ongoing sound I hear an industry make. — Michael
Image: Newspaper Advertising Revenue Adjusted for Inflation, 1950 - 2012. Via Carpe Diem.
There are two flavors of interest targeting. For broader reach, you can target more than 350 interest categories, ranging from Education to Home and Garden to Investing to Soccer, as shown in the screenshot below. As an example, if you were promoting a new animated film about dogs, you could select Animation (under Movies and Television), Cartoons (under Hobbies and Interests), and Dogs (under Pets).
If you want to target more precise sets of users, you can create custom segments by specifying certain @usernames that are relevant to the product, event or initiative you are looking to promote. Custom segments let you reach users with similar interests to that @username’s followers; they do not let you specifically target the followers of that @username. If you’re promoting your indie band’s next tour, you can create a custom audience by adding @usernames of related bands, thus targeting users with the same taste in music.
Twitter Advertising Blog, Interest targeting: Broaden your reach, reach the right audience
What does that mean? Twitter will use your personal browsing history, people you follow and any other data it has about your activity in order for advertisers to microtarget their ads to you.
H/T: Gizmodo.
Muscle Music
I don’t post this to watch Terry Crews trigger beats and instruments by flexing his muscles.
Instead, I post to see what happens after we’ve enjoyed that.
Namely, give the video a few moments to end and then you can start to play Terry’s pecs and abs and quads and whatnot from your keyboard.
Make him flex (try your middle keyboard: ASDF JKL;), hear him play.
If it doesn’t work for you here head over to Vimeo to play with it there. Would be interesting to explore things like this with narrative video — Michael
I thought you were particularly photogenic that day.
Karl Rove, former George W. Bush advisor and founder of Crossroads GPS, to New York Times reporter John Harwood on why Crossroads used a clip of Harwood in an attack ad on Barack Obama. The footage used was a three second clip of Harwood explaining a job report on CNBC.
John Harwood, New York Times. More News Reports Show Up in Campaign Ads, to Journalists’ Chagrin.
Background: Harwood reports that more political ads this year are using footage from television news programs to lend “credibility” to the claims made in the spots.
“We try really hard to get credible third-party messengers to deliver facts,” Mark McKinnon, an ad producer who’s worked with Rove on campaigns, tells Harwood. “A fact coming from you is much more believable than a fact coming from us.”
Which is odd if you think about it seeing how shrill certain quarters are about how biased the mainstream media happens to be.
Why Yes, That is Katie Couric on a Billboard in Baghdad
The Iraqi Electricity Ministry is issuing five minute daily news bulletins about the state of the day’s electricty. The unauthorized face of the campaign: Katie Couric.
Via the New York Times:
At more than two dozen locations around this city, officials have posted giant billboards of Ms. Couric, billed as “America’s Sweetheart” during her time as a host of the “Today” show on NBC. From high above the steamy streets, or from the side of blast walls, Ms. Couric beams out at passers-by in an advertisement for a daily news bulletin about electricity that is produced by the government and is shown on 11 satellite television channels.
“It doesn’t give me hope about electricity, but I like to see her beautiful face,” Habib Harbi, who sells watermelon in the summer and sweets in the winter, said as he looked across the street at the billboard from his fruit stand…
“We were looking for a bright and optimistic face that inspires the people to imagine a better future for electricity,” said Musaab al-Mudarrs, the spokesman for the Electricity Ministry, who said designers had plucked Ms. Couric’s image from the Internet…
Mr. Mudarrs said the face of an American woman was sought for the campaign because showcasing an Iraqi woman would violate cultural taboos. And Ms. Couric, he said, was dressed appropriately in the picture — she was wearing a brown Max Mara blazer — and was the right age. “We didn’t want someone to be very old or very young, and she was in the middle,” he said. Mr. Mudarrs did say he was a bit worried that “when she finds out, maybe she will file a lawsuit against us.”
Katie Couric: Not too old, not too young and dressed just right.
Couric tells the Times there will be no lawsuits but the billboards are “bizarre and slightly amusing.”
New York Times, Putting a Megawatt Smile on a Simmering Problem.
Facebook Ad Targeting
Inspired by Felix Salmon’s post yesterday on how untargeted his Facebook ads are I decided to take a look at what they’re feeding me.
As you can see, the ads don’t even come close to relevant, which surprises seeing how much information they have about anyone who even moderately uses the site.
As Felix wrote: “This, my friends, is the next-generation hyper-targeted marketing platform which makes Facebook worth $100 billion. Or, you know, not.”
Slow clap. — Michael
Select image to embiggen
During the 2012 elections it’s estimated that political parties, campaigns and their advocates (eg., Super PACs) will spend over $3 billion on television advertising. While stations are required to keep records of who’s purchasing what, transparency advocates have urged the FCC to require broadcasters to make that information easily available online (currently, any citizen can go the physical station and ask to see the paper documents).
In April, the FCC agreed despite opposition from broadcasters and issued new rules to make it so starting in July.
Now, however, Republican lawmakers are blocking implementation of the rules by refusing to allow funding for them.
Via ProPublica:
Rep. Jo Ann Emerson, R-Mo., chair of the financial services and general government subcommittee of the House appropriations committee, added language to an appropriations bill ordering that no funds to be used to implement the disclosure rule. The bill, which passed the subcommittee Wednesday, funds the FCC and other agencies for fiscal year 2013.
The move by Emerson adds another question mark to the process of creating an FCC website with political ad data. At a subcommittee hearing Wednesday, a Democratic amendment to remove the Emerson language was defeated on a party line vote.
ProPublica reports that Democrats will try to strip the language when the full appropriations committee considers the bill. Also fortunate, “Even if the measure to block the FCC from funding the political ad rule passes the House, it still has to get through the Democrat-controlled Senate and be signed by President Obama, whose administration has supported the transparency rule.”
Our backgrounder on political advertising and broadcaster transparency is here.
Warren Buffett buys 63 newspapers, we scratch our heads
About two weeks ago, Berkshire Hathaway CEO Warren Buffett bought 63 newspapers from Media General, a news company that operates throughout the US Southeast. The purchase has gotten a lot of criticism, as you can imagine, and some praise too. Let’s dissect the argument.
The papers themselves are small locals, and Buffett has said he wants to focus on local reporting. Fair enough.
via Buffett:
Our future depends on remaining the primary source of information in certain subjects of great importance to our readers. Technological change has caused us to lose primacy in various key areas, including national news, national sports, stock quotations and employment opportunities. So be it. Our job is to reign supreme in matters of local importance.
Buffett knows that much of what traditionally made a newspaper a newspaper – the classifieds, funnies, world news – is now free and online. So he’s wants to lean on local issues that only a local paper will cover. There’s got to be a market for that, right?
And he wants to charge for online content, probably:
We must rethink the industry’s initial response to the Internet. The original instinct of newspapers then was to offer free in digital form what they were charging for in print. This is an unsustainable model and certain of our papers are already making progress in moving to something that makes more sense.
But he’s missing something, according to the critics. Namely, that you can’t expect subscriptions or paywalls to finance a paper.
writes Clay Shirky:
He makes much of drops in print readership, but circulation has not been strongly correlated with revenue for two decades now.
Buffett expects that quality reporting will boost readership, boost sales, and then boost business. But it’s not that simple.
Shirky goes on:
Reading the letter, you’d never know that papers make most of their money from companies, not citizens, and have done for the better part of two centuries. It is disruptive competition for ad dollars, not changing reader engagement, that has sent the industry into a tailspin.
FJP: The jury’s still out on paywalls, but if they only sort-of work for the New York Times, then their adoption by a paper in a town of 10,000 doesn’t incite our confidence.
Matthew Ingram of GigaOm puts it well: newspapers have changed. The internet has most of what a paper has always had, and makes it easier to find. And the ad money, which has always financed the news, has followed our collective attention away from print.
Ingram writes:
The real business of a newspaper has been to aggregate content — news, but also comics and horoscopes and classifieds and lifestyle tips — as a way of capturing the attention of readers, and then sell that attention to advertisers. And the problem for newspapers, both hyper-local and national, is that advertisers are no longer as interested in that arrangement as they used to be. Much of the attention that they seek to monetize has gone elsewhere, to websites and services like Facebook — especially the attention of younger readers with disposable income.
But Warren Buffett is a business man, and as one of the world’s most successful investors, it’s not surprising that he’s not in much danger of losing money.
via Devin Leonard:
Yet it’s also important to look at the price Berkshire is paying for the Media General papers. As recently as six years ago, newspaper companies sold for more than 9 times Ebitda (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization). Bank of America Merrill Lynch’s Stephen Weiss writes today that Buffett’s company paid around 4 times Ebitda for the Media General assets.
At that low price, Berkshire Hathaway could make a nice return on its money. As the Wall Street Journalreported earlier this month, it has done surprisingly well since purchasing the debt last November of Lee Enterprises, another troubled newspaper publisher, from Goldman Sachs.
And there you have it, for now.
Image: Fiscal Muses.
Publishers, Cookies and Privacy, EU Style
Last week Josh Sternberg posted about how publishers are dealing with user privacy.
The Too Long, Didn’t Read version of it is that they haven’t.
Instead, they say that privacy issues lie upstream with the ad networks that feed behavioral advertising to readers of our favorite sites. Publishers then — more or less — are sitting on the sidelines when it comes to questions about the how the likes of you or I are tracked and followed with cookies when we access their content.
I write shorthand though. Because what we’re talking about when we talk about publisher ambivalence to privacy is US publishers. Across the European Union a new consumer privacy law has taken effect that requires sites to spell out how cookies are used, how users are tracked and — most important — how users can opt out of being followed and tracked.
For instance, in the screenshot above that I took over the weekend, a giant notice appeared alerting users how to manage cookies when accessing the BBC Web site. Click through and you end up on a privacy and cookies page that fairly clearly spells out the types of cookies the BBC uses, and then has another page that lets you select what type of cookies you choose to accept while on the site.
I asked John Johnston, our UK-based contributor about this implementation. Here’s what he had to say:
Basically, you have to make users aware that you use cookies to run your site and that they are the subject of the cookies and they are given the choice to allow them or not. Although it’s an EU law, it’s been implemented in different ways. In the Netherlands for instance all users have been opted out and must specify to have cookies dropped (usually with the promise that the site will work better with them), while here in the UK you only have to make users aware and give them a way to opt out.
Meantime, ZDNet reports that even though the cookie law went into effect over the weekend, and applies to all member states, institutions like the European Parliament and European Commission haven’t implemented the necessary changes on their Web sites.
If cookies and privacy are your thing, here’s the European Commission’s directive on online privacy behind the new law (PDF).
Primary Season Political Ads Bring New Low to Negativity
Can the soaring music, sunrises and deep gazes, the Wesleyan Media Group analyzed political advertising through the presidential campaign primary season and finds that negativity isn’t just on the rise, it’s the norm.
Above we see the difference between positive and negative advertising during the primaries in 2008 and 2012. We’re showing the difference by candidate and by special interest (eg., PAC and Super PAC).
Overall, in 2008 nine percent of ads were negative. In 2012, 70 percent are.
Read on at the Wesleyan Media Project for more analysis.
TLDR: Citizen United and the rise of Super PACs are behind the negativity.
Digiday’s Josh Sternberg gets to the bottom of Tumblr’s Ad strategy, one that attempts to deliver value to brands without pissing off Tumblr’s community:
For years, David Karp, Tumblr’s CEO, has professed his disdain for advertising. That’s now changing. But he’s now wagering that Tumblr can essentially opt out of the overall Internet ad system thanks to its size and influence.
Tumblr is betting advertisers will be taken with its impressive reach. According to ComScore, Tumblr had 58 million uniques in March 2012 (more than double what its tally in March 2011). It also boasts a passionate, young user base receptive to a Tumblr-specific ad system that operates outside of the industry’s standard display ad formats.
“The overall thesis of what we’re trying to do is empower and highlight interesting creative advertising,” said Derek Gottfrid, Tumblr’s vp of product. “It’s not meant for the direct-response crowd.”
That’s why it has set a $25,000 minimum for buying placement in “Radar,” the space Tumblr reserves on user dashboards to highlight interesting Tumblr accounts. The bet is this placement can act in a similar fashion as Twitter’s “promoted” ad products.
Tumblr is rolling the dice on being able to opt out of the regular ad system. Advertisers won’t be able to easily marry their Tumblr campaigns with what they’re doing on other sites. Tumblr is also pushing its own set of metrics for success — number of reblogs, replies to posts, likes, number of new followers — in addition to impressions. This typically doesn’t go over well with brands since it makes it harder to evaluate how their campaigns are performing. There’s even grumbling about these problems with Facebook….
Essentially, brands can’t re-use the same IAB compliant ad creative they use to buy ad space on publications such as the NYTimes.com, CNN.com, Vogue.com, ESPN.com, etc. So there’s a cost to producing unique ad creative for a single media platform.
Gottfrid’s argument: digital advertising has made great strides in direct response, but Tumblr believes advertising in social is lacking. Google AdWords hasn’t been a great place for creative. Twitter has momentum but is not a place for creative storytelling. Same with Facebook. Tumblr is trying to tap into the creativeness that thrives on the platform and also let its users interact with brands in a creative way….
Agreed. Online everyone seems to be fixated on direct response rather than building brand awareness.
Packages start at $25,000 and brands that buy in can highlight one of its posts — typically images or text, but all post types (quotes, links, chats, audio and video) are available to be to be included in the Radar — so that users will see, and then hopefully share the content. As of now, there are four members of the ad sales team, and the company hopes to have about a dozen by the end of the year. It is also rolling out self-service tools for smaller marketers.
No ads will run on individual Tumblr pages, just the dashboard.
I think Twitter has a similar buy-in of about $15,000, which brands can then spend to:
- Scale followers (with Promoted Accounts)
- Extend reach (through Promoted Tweets)
- Ramp awareness (through Promoted Trends)
But don’t call them ads.
Via Business Insider:
In a 2010 interview with the Los Angeles Times, Tumblr CEO and founder David Karp said, “We’re pretty opposed to advertising. It really turns our stomachs.”
How times have changed. Karp announced at Ad Age’s Digital Conference that on May 2, Tumblr will start offering advertisers the ability to buy an ad unit on Tumblr Radar, which highlights the site’s top posts and gets approximately 120,000 impressions a day.
“I was probably being an idiot then,” Karp said of his earlier renunciation of all advertising. His conversion is relatively recent—on April 12 he told Ad Age that advertising was “a complete last resort.”
Tumblr spokesperson Katharine Barna added that the real estate being offered to advertisers was “not an ‘ad unit’ per se, but a package of native promotion for the Tumblr post ― the most essential and versatile piece of our network.”
Last week Advertising Age interviewed Karp and asked a basic question: “Can the Company Be a Business Without Traditional Advertising?”